Assessment of Pandemics Impact on Public Health and Aviation Sector by Using Mathematical Modelling

Abstract

The article researches the COVID-19 pandemic impact on the air traffic and aviation sector. The airlines alike the individual countries are introducing the measures intending to stop the COVID-19 pandemic spread. These measures might have a significant impact on the public health of the inhabitants. In the article, the authors assess the viral diseases spread by using mathematical modelling. The first general mathematical model includes the basic epidemiological parameters (basic reproductive number, incubation period, and population). The objective of this model is to explain the basic terms and processes during the transmission of viral diseases. The second mathematical model includes the data analysis of the COVID-19 virus spread in individual countries. The data source for this analysis is the World Health Organization (WHO). A unique protocol to measure viral diseases spread does not exist, hence, the data from this analysis cannot be comparable. Nevertheless, the research results might be useful for public health as well as for the life’s segments where the air traffic and airlines belong to.