Strategic control of the Arctic and possible armed conflict of the great powers

Miloš Tomić
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Abstract

The geopolitical competition of great powers over the control of strategically important natural resources is an integral part of the political agenda aimed at achieving economic and thus military dominance on a global level. The territory of the Arctic, as the northernmost part of the planet Earth, has large reserves of natural resources (primarily oil and gas), the sovereign control and exploitation of which are contested by the countries that surround (a total of eight of them) this area, but also recently by countries that have granted themselves the status of "near Arctic state" like the People's Republic of China. The trend of accelerated militarization of the Arctic in the period after the closure of the Cold War can be interpreted as a consequence of the damaged relationship between the key actors of international politics and different perceptions of the future global order. The goal of this work is a systematic description of the dynamics of relations between Arctic states with a special focus on the USA (including NATO) and the Russian Federation and their activities in the military-defense sphere. To achieve the projected goal, the technique of content analysis of strategic documents, the technique of narrative analysis and historical comparative analysis was used. The results of this research indicate the increased interest of the great powers in controlling the Arctic, i.e. the natural resources present in this area, as well as the strategically important international traffic corridor, the Northern Sea Route. Accordingly, the engagement of the armed forces should enable the unhindered implementation of the defined political-economic activities of the Arctic states with the status of a great power.
对北极的战略控制和大国之间可能发生的武装冲突
大国为控制具有重要战略意义的自然资源而进行的地缘政治竞争,是旨在在全球范围内取得经济和军事主导地位的政治议程的一个组成部分。北极的领土,作为地球最北端的一部分,拥有大量的自然资源(主要是石油和天然气),其主权控制和开采是由包围该地区的国家(总共八个)争夺的,但最近也有一些国家承认自己是“近北极国家”,如中华人民共和国。冷战结束后,北极加速军事化的趋势可以解释为国际政治主要参与者之间的关系受损以及对未来全球秩序的不同看法的结果。这项工作的目标是系统地描述北极国家之间关系的动态,特别关注美国(包括北约)和俄罗斯联邦及其在军事防御领域的活动。为达到预期目标,本文运用了战略文献内容分析、叙事分析和历史比较分析等方法。这项研究的结果表明,大国对控制北极的兴趣越来越大,即该地区的自然资源,以及具有重要战略意义的国际交通走廊——北海航线。因此,武装力量的参与应该能够使北极国家以大国的身份不受阻碍地实施既定的政治经济活动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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