Analysis of the results of presidential elections in the US agglomerations in the XXI century

Rachev Pavel
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Abstract

In the second half of the 20th century, the USA faced the problem of polarizing society. It is expressed, among other things, in political preferences. With the development of transport infrastructure and income increase, Americans began to migrate more often, choosing for residence areas with people with similar politic views. Such migrations form electorally homogeneous regions, which may eventually lead to isolationism and even tribalism. This phenomenon is called “The Big Sort”. The study proposes to identify the dynamics of polarization of the American nation, as well as agglomerations with different electoral preferences using a new quantitative method – Partisan Voting Index.
21世纪美国城市群总统选举结果分析
20世纪下半叶,美国面临着社会两极分化的问题。在其他方面,它表现在政治偏好上。随着交通基础设施的发展和收入的增加,美国人开始更频繁地迁移,选择与政治观点相似的居住地。这种移民形成了选举上同质的地区,最终可能导致孤立主义甚至部落主义。这种现象被称为“大排序”。本研究建议使用一种新的量化方法-党派投票指数来确定美国民族两极分化的动态,以及不同选举偏好的聚集。
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