The US withdrawal from Iran's nuclear deal: reasons and consequences

بێستون عارف
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Abstract

Signing Iran’s nuclear deal in 2015, was a hope to solve the problem of Iran’s nuclear program – a disputed issue between Iran and the west for more than a decade. After three years, this issue has again become a controversial subject between the United States (US) and other signatories of the deal as the result of the US president Donald Trump’s decision to withdraw from the deal unilaterally on 8 May 2018. This step was a beginning of tensions between the US and Iran and paved the way to renew economic sanctions on Iran – even the US placed the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) into foreign terrorist organizations list and deployed military forces in the Middle East as a preparation for a conflict. These events put Iran’s nuclear deal into uncertain future and brought a wide International and regional reaction against the Trump’s act. Following the US withdrawing from the deal, Iran maintained its obligation with the deal, but finally after a year decided to suspend some part of its commitment to the deal. This paper aims at studying the reasons behind the US decision to withdraw from Iran’s nuclear deal and examining the future of Iran’s nuclear deal, and finally proposing some scenarios to the future of US –Iranian relations.
美国退出伊朗核协议:原因与后果
2015年签署伊朗核协议是希望解决伊朗核项目问题,这是伊朗和西方之间十多年来一直存在争议的问题。三年后,由于美国总统唐纳德·特朗普于2018年5月8日单方面决定退出该协议,这一问题再次成为美国与该协议其他签署国之间的争议话题。这一举动是美伊关系紧张的开端,并为重新对伊朗实施经济制裁铺平了道路——美国甚至将伊斯兰革命卫队(IRGC)列入外国恐怖组织名单,并在中东部署军事力量,为冲突做准备。这些事件使伊朗核协议陷入不确定的未来,并引起了国际和地区对特朗普行为的广泛反应。在美国退出该协议后,伊朗继续履行其对该协议的义务,但最终在一年后决定暂停对该协议的部分承诺。本文旨在研究美国决定退出伊核协议的原因,并对伊核协议的未来进行考察,最后对美伊关系的未来提出一些设想。
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