Volatility Spillover between Stock and Bond Returns: Evidence from ASEAN-5 Countries

Feny Yurastika, Buddi Wibowo
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Abstract

This study investigated the volatility spillover between stock and government bond returns in ASEAN-5 countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippine, Singapore, and Thailand using stock and government bond daily return data between 3 January 2006 and 28 February 2020. Estimation using BEKK-GARCH (1,1,1) found that volatility spillover in ASEAN-5 countries are varied. There is no spillover volatility indication in Singapore and Malaysia. Meanwhile, unidirectional volatility spillover from the stock market to the government bond market was founded in Philippine and Thailand. Bi-directional volatility spillover, from the stock market to the bond market and from the bond market to the stock market occurred in Indonesia. The various result of ASEAN5 countries presumably caused by the different levels of financial and institutional depth among the countries. Countries with deep financial markets could absorb the shocks that occur so that it not spilled and affecting other markets.
股票和债券收益的波动溢出效应:来自东盟五国的证据
本研究利用2006年1月3日至2020年2月28日的股票和政府债券日收益数据,调查了东盟五国(印度尼西亚、马来西亚、菲律宾、新加坡和泰国)股票和政府债券收益之间的波动溢出效应。利用BEKK-GARCH(1,1,1)估计发现,东盟五国的波动溢出是不同的。新加坡和马来西亚没有溢出波动迹象。与此同时,在菲律宾和泰国,从股票市场到国债市场的单向波动溢出已经成立。印尼发生了从股市到债市、从债市到股市的双向波动外溢。东盟五国的不同结果可能是由于各国的金融和制度深度水平不同造成的。拥有深厚金融市场的国家能够吸收所发生的冲击,从而避免冲击溢出并影响其他市场。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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