Process Analysis, Modeling and Simulation for Crisis Management

F. Rousseaux, K. Lhoste
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

The paper aims to present a real experience of designing a control, command, communication, and intelligence system to support crisis management through a three step business process. A better understanding of what is a crisis and a model of knowledge gathering appeared within the system development. We explain this particular business process management through the successful example of the CHEOPS Project. When a company wants to offer a new tender for its clients in the geopolitical crisis management domain, it has to solve a dilemma. Firstly it has to build rapidly, a functional product in order to take a place on this well discussed market but on the long term this strategy isn 't sufficient. An incremental design process is required in order to organize an architecture, to bring out functional and ergonomic specifications, and to structure an ontological application such as a multi-agent cooperation model.Furthermore a reflection on what a crisis is, on the values level which helps to make the model more accurate can be added. We explain this three step business process through the successful example of the CHEOPS Project. Firstly, we describe its risk management system, then we put the emphasis on its multi-agent cooperation model, and lastly, we present a situation analysis as a constructive modeling process and we finish with an analysis on the CHEOPS project business management and its possibilities of evolution.
危机管理的过程分析、建模与仿真
本文旨在通过三步业务流程,展示设计控制、指挥、通信和情报系统以支持危机管理的真实经验。在系统开发中,出现了对危机的更好理解和知识收集模型。我们通过CHEOPS项目的成功示例来解释这种特殊的业务流程管理。当一家公司想要为地缘政治危机管理领域的客户提供新的投标时,它必须解决一个困境。首先,它必须快速构建一个功能性产品,以便在这个讨论得很好的市场上占有一席之地,但从长远来看,这个策略是不够的。为了组织体系结构,提出功能和人体工程学规范,以及构建本体应用程序(如多代理协作模型),需要一个增量设计过程。此外,可以在价值层面上对危机是什么进行反思,这有助于使模型更加准确。我们通过CHEOPS项目的成功案例来解释这三步业务流程。首先对CHEOPS项目的风险管理系统进行了描述,然后重点介绍了其多智能体合作模型,最后对CHEOPS项目的业务管理及其演化可能性进行了分析,并提出了情景分析作为建设性的建模过程。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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