A balança comercial é uma restrição ao crescimento econômico dos estados brasileiros? Uma análise para o período de 1991 a 2009

Revista de Economia Política Pub Date : 2017-03-01 DOI:10.1590/0101-31572016V37N01A12

Felipe de Sousa Bastos, Guilherme Irffi, Ivan Castelar

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引用次数: 1

Abstract

ABSTRACT : This paper investigates whether there is a restriction imposed by the balance of payments – through the relationship between income elasticities of imports and exports – on the economic growth of Brazilian states. In other words, it checks the validity of Thirlwall’s Law to the Brazilian states in the period from 1991 to 2009. These elasticities were estimated using the dynamic panel estimator System-GMM, which circumvents the classical endogeneity problem inherent to dynamic panels. The results point out to the validity of the law, since the income elasticity of imports was higher than the income elasticity of exports. KEyWoRDS : Thirlwall’s Law; Economic Growth; Brazilian states.JEL Classification: E12; F00; C01. Revista de Economia Politica, vol. 37, no 1 (146), pp. 226-242, janeiro-marco/2017 * Respectivamente, Doutorando em Economia – Centro de Aperfeicoamento de Economistas do Nordeste da Universidade Federal do Ceara - CAEN/UFC, E-mail: flpsbastos@gmail.com; Professor Adjunto do Departamento de Economia Aplicada da Universidade Federal do Ceara - DEA/UFC, E-mail: ghidirffi@gmail.com; Professor Titular da Universidade Federal do Ceara, email: lume1250@yahoo.com.br. Submetido: 23/Janeiro/2015: Aprovado: 24/Fevereiro/2016. 226

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贸易平衡是巴西各州经济增长的限制吗?1991 - 2009年期间的分析

摘要:本文通过进出口收入弹性的关系，考察国际收支是否对巴西各州的经济增长施加了限制。换句话说，它检查了1991年至2009年期间瑟尔沃尔法对巴西各州的有效性。使用动态面板估计器System-GMM对这些弹性进行估计，从而避免了动态面板固有的经典内生性问题。结果表明，由于进口的收入弹性高于出口的收入弹性，这一规律是有效的。关键词:瑟尔沃尔定律;经济增长;巴西的州。JEL分类:E12;F00;C01。《政治经济研究》，第37卷第1期(146)，第226-242页，janeiro-marco/2017 * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * *美国联邦大学经济应用学系兼职教授- DEA/UFC, E-mail: ghidirffi@gmail.com;西班牙联邦大学名誉教授，电子邮件:lume1250@yahoo.com.br。Submetido: 23/里约热内卢/2015;avprovado: 24/Fevereiro/2016。226

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Revista de Economia Política

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