Global Development Perspective, Economic Realignment and its Challenges-A Synoptic view

Dr. S. M. Thirunavukkarasu
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Abstract

Economic development of a country cannot be achieved without the global orientation. The global development is multidimensional and multilateral and it transformed many countries. Emerging Market and Development Economies shifted the geographical landscape and new growth centers have come up and now the paradox is whether these developments are identical with the countries and people. The literature shows that the global economy was expanding with falling unemployment and brought inequality among countries. International cooperation, world tax and migration governance is increasing and it brought new challenges. India and a few developing countries have unique position as a global player in the knowledge based sectors. Technology has changed its trajectory and the robotics and machine intelligence would significantly replace labour in the future. The countries like India and China have grown faster than the OECD average. However, impending ricochet in global GDP growth is doubtful as slow growth and trade tensions are observed in the world. Such global trade tensions may be avoided if the countries respect multilateralism. The current condition of the global manufacturing activity, lower business spending, lesser consumer purchases of durable goods, passive final demand, muffled inflation and trade tensions needs to be addressed. The world output discussed in this paper shows that for the periods 2020 and 2021 it is not favourable for the emerging market and developing economies. The assessment of the global economic situation portrays that the global economic realignment is unfavourable to the emerging market and developing economies in particular and other economies in general. This necessitates for an appropriate policy formulation to contain the declining trend otherwise global equality cannot be achieved and results in furthering of geopolitical and bilateral and multilateral trade tensions in the future.
全球发展视野、经济调整及其挑战——概观
一个国家的经济发展离不开全球导向。全球发展是多维的、多边的,它改变了许多国家。新兴市场和发展中经济体改变了地理格局,新的增长中心出现了,现在的悖论是,这些发展是否与国家和人民一致。文献表明,随着失业率的下降,全球经济正在扩张,并带来了国家之间的不平等。国际合作、世界税收和移民治理日益增多,带来了新的挑战。印度和一些发展中国家在以知识为基础的部门中具有作为全球参与者的独特地位。技术已经改变了它的轨迹,机器人和机器智能将在未来显著取代劳动力。印度和中国等国家的增长速度超过了经合组织的平均水平。然而,随着全球经济增长缓慢和贸易紧张局势的出现,全球GDP增长是否会反弹令人怀疑。如果各国尊重多边主义,这种全球贸易紧张局势是可以避免的。目前全球制造业活动的状况、企业支出下降、消费者对耐用品的购买减少、被动的最终需求、压抑的通胀和贸易紧张局势都需要得到解决。本文讨论的世界产出表明,在2020年和2021年期间,它不利于新兴市场和发展中经济体。对全球经济形势的评估表明,全球经济调整对新兴市场和发展中经济体尤其不利,对其他经济体也不利。这就需要制定适当的政策来遏制这种下降趋势,否则就无法实现全球平等,并导致未来地缘政治以及双边和多边贸易紧张局势的进一步加剧。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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