Tipping Points for a Seminal New Era of Climate Resilience and Climate Justice

Gretel Follingstad
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Abstract

Globally, we are living in an era of unparalleled population growth, rapid loss of undeveloped lands and forests, and tipping points of natural resource extractions serving 21st-century societal needs. Since the onset of industrialization in the 18th century, human actions have altered the planet and its atmosphere on a staggeringly large scale. Over the past 150 years, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from human actions have increased by 30% (UCAR et al., n.d.), creating a greenhouse effect, which in turn causes global temperatures to rise. As noted in the Sixth Assessment Report, AR6 Synthesis Report: Climate Change 2023, of the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) , human activities, principally through emissions of GHGs, have unequivocally caused global warming, with global surface temperatures reaching 1.1°C above 1850–1900 levels in 2011–2020 (IPCC, 2023). Increased temperatures influence global weather patterns, creating climate nonstationarity, breaking down certainty of climate “normal” and the ability to accurately predict impacts of extreme weather events and the associated risks this poses to communities (Revi et al., 2014). Many theorize that our outsized impact on the natural world has propelled us into an entirely new geological time interval, dubbed the “Anthropocene.” The formal definition of the Anthropocene is an epoch in which many of the Earth’s conditions and processes are profoundly altered by human influence (Berkes, 2017; Steffen et al., 2007, 2011). In layperson’s terms, it describes the era when the consequences of our actions catch up to us in a series of tipping points.
气候适应力和气候正义开创性新时代的引爆点
在全球范围内,我们正生活在一个人口空前增长、未开发土地和森林迅速流失、满足21世纪社会需求的自然资源开采达到临界点的时代。自18世纪工业化开始以来,人类活动已经以惊人的规模改变了地球及其大气。在过去的150年中,人类活动产生的温室气体(GHG)排放量增加了30% (UCAR等人,n.d),产生了温室效应,进而导致全球气温上升。正如国际气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)第六次评估报告《AR6综合报告:2023年气候变化》所指出的那样,人类活动,主要是通过温室气体的排放,已经明确造成了全球变暖,2011-2020年全球地表温度比1850-1900年的水平高出1.1°C (IPCC, 2023)。气温升高影响全球天气模式,造成气候不稳定,破坏气候“正常”的确定性,以及准确预测极端天气事件影响及其对社区构成的相关风险的能力(Revi et al., 2014)。许多理论认为,我们对自然界的巨大影响已经将我们推向了一个全新的地质时期,被称为“人类世”。人类世的正式定义是一个时代,在这个时代,地球的许多条件和过程都受到人类影响的深刻改变(Berkes, 2017;Steffen et al., 2007, 2011)。用外行的话来说,它描述了一个时代,当我们的行为的后果以一系列的临界点赶上我们。
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