La aplicación simultanea de intervenciones de control puede llevar a escenarios catastróficos para la población

O. Osuna, Jose Geiser Villavicencio Pulido
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Abstract

We analyze the evolution of an infectious disease if infectious individuals are treated or isolated. The analysis of the model shows catastrophic scenarios for the population in which bringing R0 below 1 is not enough to decrease the number of infectious individuals. Finally, we show three scenarios for the behavior of the model solutions in which multiple endemic equilibria exist.
同时实施控制干预措施可能导致人口的灾难性情况
如果感染个体被治疗或隔离,我们分析传染病的演变。该模型的分析显示了种群的灾难性情景,在这种情况下,将R0降至1以下不足以减少感染个体的数量。最后,我们展示了存在多个地方性均衡的模型解的行为的三种情况。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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