PENGARUH HARGA MINYAK DUNIA, KESTABILAN POLITIK DAN SUKU BUNGA TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR DI INDONESIA

Makro : Jurnal Manajemen Dan Kewirausahaan Pub Date : 2022-11-29 DOI:10.53712/jmm.v7i2.1501

Hesniati Hesniati, Zulfiniar Nur Kalimah, Hadi Nanto, Yulianti Yulianti, H. Harsono

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Abstract

This study discusses the relationship between world oil prices, political stability and interest rates on exchange rates in Indonesia which is analyzed using monthly time series data for 2010-2020 and processed using the E-Views application and tested with multiple linear regression. After research, it was found that world oil prices have a negative and significant effect on the exchange rate, political stability has a positive and significant effect on the exchange rate, while interest rates have no significant relationship with the exchange rate. Meanwhile, based on the results of the tests carried out, the variables of world oil prices, political stability and interest rates have a proportion of 56% in explaining the exchange rate as the dependent variable, while the remaining 44% is influenced by other variables outside of this research variable. Investors and international economic actors must be able to paying attention to world oil prices and political stability in predicting changes in exchange rates. The government as a policy maker have to maintain crude oil supplies, maintain political stability, and control interest rates to maintain exchange rates stability

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本研究讨论了世界石油价格、政治稳定和印度尼西亚汇率利率之间的关系，使用2010-2020年的月度时间序列数据进行分析，使用E-Views应用程序进行处理，并使用多元线性回归进行测试。经研究发现，世界石油价格对汇率具有负向且显著的影响，政治稳定对汇率具有正向且显著的影响，而利率与汇率没有显著的关系。同时，根据所进行的测试的结果，世界石油价格、政治稳定和利率等变量在解释汇率作为因变量方面所占的比例为56%，而其余44%受到该研究变量之外的其他变量的影响。在预测汇率变化时，投资者和国际经济参与者必须能够关注世界石油价格和政治稳定。作为政策制定者的政府必须维持原油供应，维持政治稳定，并控制利率以保持汇率稳定

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Makro : Jurnal Manajemen Dan Kewirausahaan

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