Addressing Challenges and Demands of Intelligent Seasonal Rainfall Forecasting using Artificial Intelligence Approach

M. Hatim, Ferhan Siddiqui, Rajeev Kumar
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Abstract

Precipitation forecasting is one of the most important and stimulating tasks in the modern world. Climate and precipitation are generally highly non-linear and complex phenomena that require advanced computer modeling and simulation for their accurate prediction. An artificial neural network (ANN) can be used to predict the behavior of such nonlinear systems. RNA has been successfully used by most researchers in this field over the past 25 years. This article examines the literature available on some of the methods used by various researchers to use the AN for precipitation forecasting. Weather forecasts have become an important research field in recent decades. In most cases, the researcher sought to establish a linear relationship between the meteorological data entered and the corresponding target data. However, with the discovery of non-linearity in the nature of meteorological data, the emphasis was placed on the non-linear forecast of meteorological data. The article examines the applicability of the ANN approach by developing efficient and reliable non-linear predictive models for meteorological analysis. Furthermore, they compare and evaluate the performance of the models developed with different transfer functions, hidden layers and neurons to predict the maximum temperature 365 days a year.
利用人工智能方法解决季节性降雨智能预报的挑战和需求
降水预报是当今世界最重要、最具挑战性的任务之一。气候和降水通常是高度非线性和复杂的现象,需要先进的计算机建模和模拟才能准确预测。人工神经网络(ANN)可以用来预测这类非线性系统的行为。在过去的25年里,RNA已经被大多数研究人员成功地应用于这一领域。本文考察了各种研究人员使用AN进行降水预报的一些方法的文献。近几十年来,天气预报已成为一个重要的研究领域。在大多数情况下,研究人员试图在输入的气象数据与相应的目标数据之间建立线性关系。然而,随着气象资料非线性特性的发现,人们开始重视气象资料的非线性预报。本文通过开发高效可靠的气象分析非线性预测模型来检验人工神经网络方法的适用性。此外,他们还比较和评估了使用不同传递函数、隐藏层和神经元开发的模型的性能,以预测一年365天的最高温度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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