STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF THE EUROPEAN UNION COUNTRIES ON THE BASIS OF SELECTED SOCIO-ECONOMIC AND DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS

Ľubica Hurbánková, Dominika Krasňanská
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Abstract

The aim of the paper is to compare the European Union countries on the basis of selected socio-economic and demographic indicators for the year 2016. The following indicators are selected for analysis: gross domestic product per capita, government gross debt as a percentage of gross domestic product, inflation rate, unemployment rate, total fertility rate, infant mortality rate and crude divorce rate. The contribution of the paper is a division of the countries of the European Union into several groups using cluster analysis so that the countries belonging to the same cluster are as similar as possible and the countries belonging to different clusters are the least similar, or rather the most different. The cluster analysis consists of several steps: a selection of the type of clustering process (hierarchical and non-hierarchical, the hierarchical can be agglomerated or divisive), a selection of the aggregation method (the nearest neighbour method, the furthest neighbour method, the average distance method, the centroid method, the median method, the Ward method, the typical points method, the k-means method, a method of optimum centers or medoids and fuzzy clustering, all of which can be used as the aggregation method), a selection of similarity rate (such as the Euclidean distance, the Hamming distance, the Minkow distance, the Mahalabonis distance), a specification of the number of significant clusters (based on the standard deviation of variables creating one cluster, the determination coefficient, the semi partial coefficient of determination, the distances of clusters, the cubic clustering criterion), a cluster interpretation (the description of each cluster based on the observed characteristics). The application of individual statistical methods is implemented through the statistical programme SAS Enterprise.
根据选定的社会经济和人口指标对欧洲联盟国家进行统计分析
本文的目的是在2016年选定的社会经济和人口指标的基础上比较欧盟国家。选择下列指标进行分析:人均国内生产总值、政府债务总额占国内生产总值的百分比、通货膨胀率、失业率、总生育率、婴儿死亡率和粗离婚率。本文的贡献是使用聚类分析将欧盟国家划分为几个组,以便属于同一集群的国家尽可能相似,属于不同集群的国家最不相似,或者更确切地说,是最不同的。聚类分析包括以下几个步骤:选择聚类过程的类型(分层和非分层,分层可以聚类也可以聚类),选择聚类方法(最近邻法、最远邻居法、平均距离法、质心法、中位数法、Ward法、典型点法、k-means法、最优中心或中间体法和模糊聚类,所有这些都可以作为聚类方法),相似率的选择(如欧几里得距离、汉明距离、Minkow距离、Mahalabonis距离),显著聚类数量的规范(基于创建一个聚类的变量的标准差、确定系数、半偏确定系数、聚类距离、三次聚类标准),聚类解释(基于观察到的特征对每个聚类的描述)。个别统计方法的应用是通过统计程序SAS Enterprise实施的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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