Emerging and Developing Economies: Ten Years after the Global Recession

M. Kose, F. Ohnsorge
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Abstract

Although emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) weathered the global recession a decade ago relatively well, they now appear less well placed to cope with the substantial downside risks facing the global economy. In many EMDEs, the room for monetary and fiscal policies to respond to shocks has eroded; underlying growth potential has slowed; and the momentum for improving policy frameworks, institutions, and business climates seems to have slackened. The experience of the 2009 global recession highlights once again the critical role of policy room in shielding economic activity during adverse shocks. The subsequent decade of anemic growth underlines the need for sound policy frameworks, institutions, and business environments to promote sustained growth. With the global growth outlook weakening and vulnerabilities rising, the policy priority for EMDEs is now to improve resilience to shocks and to lift long-term growth prospects.
新兴和发展中经济体:全球经济衰退后的十年
尽管新兴市场和发展中经济体(emde)相对较好地度过了十年前的全球经济衰退,但它们现在似乎不太能够应对全球经济面临的重大下行风险。在许多新兴市场国家,货币和财政政策应对冲击的空间已经缩小;潜在增长潜力已经放缓;改善政策框架、制度和商业环境的势头似乎有所放缓。2009年全球经济衰退的经验再次凸显了政策空间在不利冲击期间保护经济活动方面的关键作用。随后十年的增长乏力凸显出需要健全的政策框架、制度和商业环境来促进持续增长。随着全球增长前景趋弱和脆弱性上升,新兴市场和发展中国家目前的政策重点是提高抵御冲击的能力,提升长期增长前景。
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