ROAD MANAGEMENT FORECASTING MODELS

Abstract

The network of public roads should ensure the movement of people and the exchange of goods and services by providing uniform land access to different places, in addition to ensuring continuous, safe and convenient connections with appropriate socio-economic efficiency. Highways are a public product, important in providing a service to society that brings significant benefits. The road network is the so-called transport infrastructure. The infrastructure in the economic system is a set of elements that ensure the smooth operation of the relationships of the elements of the system. Thus, the infrastructure, as a subsystem, is designed to ensure the functioning of the relationships between the elements of the system. This is its main function, which is obviously passive. In addition to the function it provides, the infrastructure also has a regulatory function, streamlining the interaction of elements of the system itself. This feature is active. Economic evaluation of the benefits of meeting the objective needs of society is a key category of market economy orientation towards effective development. The social component is a quantitative measure of needs and measures aimed at improving efficiency. Thus, the social sphere becomes on a par with the economic one. This can overcome the unjustified division of efficiency into economic and social, their opposition, which in fact has a narrow financial significance. In a socially inefficient system, an effective economic policy is impossible. Analysis of the functioning of the road network allowed to present it as part of the socio-economic system of reproduction of macro indicators of the functioning of the economic system of the country; this allows us to develop a basis for creating an effective system for forecasting and managing the operation and development of the road network. The synthesis of road forecasting models confirms the hypothesis of methodological compliance of road network operation models both at the micro and macro levels, which makes it possible to build a time-appropriate management system. The article considers the models of forecasting the work of the road sector. efficiency of functioning of the road network; it is proved that there is a unity and interdependence of material and value (price, cost) aspects of the development of the road network. The obtained models demonstrate the principle of socio-economic efficiency - the balances of material and value (value, price) flows are taken into account in the functioning of the road network.