U.S. Debt and Deficits: Time to Reverse the Trend

James R. Barth, Tong Li
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Abstract

With the failure of the Congressional "supercommittee," national attention is once more focused on the issue of ever-mounting federal budget deficits. This paper provides a primer on budget deficits, and surpluses from the creation of the federal government. From 1790 to 2010, government spending averaged 8.7 percent of GDP; today it is 25 percent, fueling debt of historic levels. The only meaningful solution to reducing debt levels, the authors argue, is to cut entitlement programs, and then set a tax rate sufficient over the course of the business cycle to fund government spending.
美国债务和赤字:扭转趋势的时候到了
随着国会“超级委员会”的失败,全国的注意力再次集中在不断增加的联邦预算赤字问题上。本文对预算赤字和联邦政府成立以来的盈余提供了初步的了解。从1990年到2010年,财政支出平均占国内生产总值的8.7%;如今,这一比例为25%,使债务达到了历史水平。两位作者认为,降低债务水平唯一有意义的解决方案是削减福利项目,然后设定一个足以在整个商业周期内为政府支出提供资金的税率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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