공론조사에서 선택 변경과 숙의효과: 신고리 5·6호기 공론화와 사용후 핵연료 관리정책 공론화 사례

Abstract

Deliberative polling has been widely used globally to enhance democracy and deliberation on key policy issues. This study analyzed deliberative effects and opinion changes for two cases of deliberative polling on nuclear energy policy issues in South Korea: whether to resume/discontinue Shin-Gori No.5·6 nuclear reactors and whether to construct a temporary storage of spent nuclear fuel. By using logistic models, it found out deliberative effect working for opinion changes on Shin-Gori No.5·6 nuclear reactors issue, but not significantly for opinion changes on the issue of spent nuclear fuel. In addition, this study analyzed whether deliberative effect has a direction of opinion changes. Deliberative effect seems to have no directional effect regarding Shin-Gori No.5·6 nuclear reactors issue, whereas having a directional effect towards ‘Yes’ for the spent nuclear fuel issue.