Problems of Projects Assessment in Terms of New Industrialization of Russia

A. Vershinina, E. Koshkina, E. R. Orlova
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Abstract

In the article the problems related to evaluating efficiency of investment projects within the framework of realizing new industrialization of Russia are analyzed. The main tendency that provides for innovation activity namely is regarded. Variants are analyzed of conducting innovation strategy formulated in the “Forecast of Social and Economic Development of the Russian Federation for a period till 2030”. A conclusion is made on the necessity of realizing the third variant aimed at developing breakthrough technologies. As an example in this field it is proposed to study a project on creating a system of information-analytical searching based on the methods of artificial intelligence and aimed at fulfilling functions of intellectual management of innovation activity. The necessity to evaluate such projects from the position of the state, i.e. to evaluate their social efficiency, is also proved in the article. A variant of possible assessment of the project’s effects on the scale of the country is determining the value of saving of time spent on searching scientific and technical information necessary for innovation activity. Moreover, in the article analysis of the present legislative base regulating innovation activity is conducted. Conclusions are made the present legal standards do not propose adequate approaches to evaluating innovation projects and their influence to the economy of the country. Besides, the projects in the sphere of new industrialization of Russia due to their novelty and vagueness of the final results demand more thorough examination which is impossible without attracting highly skilled specialists of assessment. Keywords—new industrialization; innovation activity; systems of information-analytical searching; intellectual management
俄罗斯新型工业化进程中项目评估的若干问题
本文分析了在俄罗斯实现新型工业化框架下投资项目效率评价的有关问题。即为创新活动提供的主要趋势。分析了“2030年前俄罗斯联邦社会经济发展预测”中制定的实施创新战略的变体。总结了以发展突破性技术为目标,实现第三种变型的必要性。作为该领域的一个例子,提出了一个基于人工智能方法的信息分析搜索系统的研究项目,旨在实现创新活动的智能管理功能。文章还论证了站在国家的立场上评价这类工程的必要性,即评价其社会效率。评估项目对国家规模的影响的一种可能方法是确定节省用于寻找创新活动所必需的科学和技术资料的时间的价值。此外,本文还对我国现行规制创新活动的立法基础进行了分析。结论是,目前的法律标准没有提出适当的方法来评估创新项目及其对国家经济的影响。此外,俄罗斯新工业化领域的项目由于其新颖性和最终结果的模糊性,需要更彻底的审查,这在不吸引高技能的评估专家的情况下是不可能的。Keywords-new产业化;创新活动;信息分析检索系统;知识管理
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