Declining Inflows and More Frequent Droughts in the Murray–Darling Basin: Climate Change, Impacts and Adaptation

David Adamson, Thilak Mallawaarachchi, J. Quiggin
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引用次数: 85

Abstract

It is likely that climate change will be associated with reductions in inflows of water to the Murray-Darling Basin. In this study, we analyse the effects of climate change in the Murray-Darling Basin using a simulation model that incorporates a state-contingent representation of uncertainty. The severity of the impact depends, in large measure, on the extent to which climate change is manifested as an increase in the frequency of drought conditions. Adaptation will partially offset the adverse impact of climate change.
墨累-达令盆地流入量减少和干旱频发:气候变化、影响和适应
气候变化很可能与墨累-达令盆地流入水量的减少有关。在本研究中,我们使用包含不确定性的状态条件表示的模拟模型分析了墨累-达令盆地气候变化的影响。影响的严重程度在很大程度上取决于气候变化在多大程度上表现为干旱情况发生频率的增加。适应将部分抵消气候变化的不利影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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