Simulation based strategic decision making in humanitarian supply chain management

S. Ottenburger, S. Bai
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Strategic decision making plays an important role in disaster management. In view of an imminent or already occurring event, e.g. flood, that has the potential to stress and threaten populated regions, humanitarian supply chain management is a place where strategic decision making plays a major role. Sensible or strategic measures have to be developed in order to mitigate damages. Strategic measures should take into account available and possibly distributed resources, e.g. vehicles, storages and street networks, and of course the type of measure against the background of protection goals. Finding good or sensible measures becomes a hard task if the menaced region refers to a densely populated area, where the functionality of street network has a dynamic feature in terms of the emergence of blocked segments. This task gets even harder if the protection of certain critical infrastructures also has to be considered. Our work proposes a framework of a decision support system that is based on the synergetic coupling of a critical infrastructure and a traffic simulation module. By defining different event scenarios, different simulation runs can be triggered beforehand and according to the decision maker's preferences, sensible measures in terms of type of resources and routes are stored and displayed to the decision maker. Especially simultaneously occurring issues of different problem categories requiring decisions by various decision makers are addressed.
基于仿真的人道主义供应链管理战略决策
战略决策在灾害管理中起着重要作用。鉴于即将发生或已经发生的事件,例如洪水,有可能给人口稠密地区带来压力和威胁,人道主义供应链管理是战略决策发挥重要作用的地方。为了减轻损害,必须制定明智的或战略性的措施。战略措施应考虑到现有和可能分配的资源,例如车辆、储存和街道网络,当然还应考虑到在保护目标背景下采取的措施类型。如果受威胁区域是指人口密集的地区,那么找到好的或明智的措施就变得困难了,因为在这些地区,街道网络的功能在出现阻塞段方面具有动态特征。如果还必须考虑对某些关键基础设施的保护,这项任务将变得更加困难。我们的工作提出了一个基于关键基础设施和交通模拟模块的协同耦合的决策支持系统框架。通过定义不同的事件场景,可以预先触发不同的模拟运行,并根据决策者的偏好,存储资源和路线类型方面的合理度量并向决策者显示。特别是同时发生的不同问题类别的问题,需要不同决策者的决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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