Transformation strategy of the three industries in China at the Lewis turning point

Ying-Xue Fang, Q. Fan, L. Zeng
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

At the first stage of Lewis, China promoted rapid development of industrialization driven by huge demographic dividend. But under the institutional constraint, the labor force in non-agricultural industries flows back into the countryside constantly. In 2004, China had entered into the Chinese-style Lewis turning point. Under the Chinese-style Lewis turning point, the three industries in China has three characteristics: low efficiency in the primary industry, overcapacity of the second industry, the rapid development of the tertiary industry. In order to improve production efficiency of the primary industry, China should implement effective policies to promote the rural population urbanization, and at the same time encourage urban capital to flow to the countryside. In order to increase the strength that economic development is driven by demand, China should optimize the distribution structure of national income through the government means such as reduction of tax and transfer of profits.
刘易斯拐点下的中国三次产业转型战略
刘易斯第一阶段,中国在巨大的人口红利带动下,工业化快速发展。但在制度约束下,非农产业劳动力不断向农村回流。2004年,中国进入了中国式的刘易斯拐点。在中国式刘易斯拐点下,中国的三次产业具有三个特点:第一产业效率低下,第二产业产能过剩,第三产业快速发展。为了提高第一产业的生产效率,中国应该实施有效的政策,促进农村人口城市化,同时鼓励城市资本向农村流动。为了增强需求驱动经济发展的力量,中国应该通过减税、利润转移等政府手段优化国民收入分配结构。
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