Validation of WASD neuronet fitting method applied to Asian population projection: 9 years within 1.9% error in average

Yunong Zhang, Ziyi Luo, Dongsheng Guo, Keke Zhai, Hongzhou Tan
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Data fitting as well as projection plays an important part in information processing. As the computing power improves, fitting methods such as the WASD (weights-and-structure-determination) neuronet become more operable. Though the WASD neuronet has been applied to different issues, its application on fitting data needs to be recognized more widely. Therefore, this paper is committed to introduce the WASD-neuronet model for data fitting and further to explore its capability of data projection (or say, prediction). In order to improve the projection performance and extend its application, we introduce the learning-checking method and the concept of global minimum point (GMP). By applying such a model to Asian population projection, the great performance is thus substantiated. With 12 experiments validating the predicting performance and a final projection based on historical data, we present a reasonable population tendency in the following 9 years (i.e., the Asian population keeps growing with a steady growth rate).
WASD神经网络拟合方法在亚洲人口预测中的应用验证:9年平均误差1.9%
数据拟合和投影在信息处理中起着重要的作用。随着计算能力的提高,WASD(权重和结构确定)神经网络等拟合方法变得更具可操作性。虽然WASD神经网络已经应用于不同的问题,但它在拟合数据上的应用还需要得到更广泛的认可。因此,本文致力于引入WASD-neuronet模型进行数据拟合,并进一步探索其数据投影(或者说预测)能力。为了提高投影性能并扩展其应用范围,我们引入了学习检查方法和全局最小点的概念。通过将该模型应用于亚洲人口预测,从而证实了这一伟大的表现。通过12次实验验证预测效果,并根据历史数据进行最终预测,我们给出了未来9年的合理人口趋势(即亚洲人口保持稳定增长)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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