Using visual data mining in highway traffic safety analysis and decision making

Yao-Te Tsai, Huw D. Smith, S. Swartz, F. Megahed
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

An ongoing, two-fold challenge involves extracting useful information from the massive amounts of highway crash data and explaining complicated statistical models to inform the public about highway safety. Highway safety is critical to the trucking industry and highway funding policy. One method to analyze complex data is through the application of visual data mining tools. In this paper, we address the following three questions: a) what existing data visualization tools can assist with highway safety theory development and in policy-making?; b) can visual data mining uncover unknown relationships to inform the development of theory or practice? and c) can a data visualization toolkit be developed to assist the stakeholders in understanding the impact of publicpolicy on transportation safety? To address these questions, we developed a visual data mining toolkit that allows for understanding safety datasets and evaluating the effectiveness of safety policies. INTRODUCTION AND LITERATURE REVIEW Transportation accidents levy a significant cost on societies in terms of personal death or injury in addition to the economic costs. Road traffic injuries are the eighth leading cause of death, and the leading cause of death for individuals aged 15-29 (Lozano et al., 2012; World Health Organization, 2008). In 2010, transportation injuries have resulted in 1.24 million fatalities worldwide according to the World Health Organization (WHO), World Health Organization (2013, p. v). In addition to the lost lives, the costs associated with road traffic crashes runs to billions of dollars (Jacobs, Aeron-Thomas, & Astrop, 2000). These numbers are unacceptably high, especially since many of these fatalities can be avoided with evidencedriven road safety interventions. Road safety interventions can be effective in reducing the number of accidents and/or mitigating their effects. The WHO states that “adopting and enforcing legislation relating to important risk factors – speed, drunk–driving, motorcycle helmets, seat-belts and child restraints – has been shown to lead to reductions in road traffic injuries” (World Health Organization, 2013, p. v). These five risk factors are a sample of a larger pool of behavioral factors that lead to accidents. There are increasing regulations worldwide that have been passed to cover these behavioral factors. However, “in many countries these laws are either not comprehensive in scope or lacking altogether. Governments must do more to ensure that their national road safety laws meet best practice, and do more to enforce these laws” (World Health Organization, 2013, p. v) The problem is complex in the U.S., since highway safety policies can be different in neighboring states and the identification of best practice is often unclear (Governors Highway Safety Association, 2013). One approach to identifying best practices is to investigate the causes of vehicle crashes, assess
将可视化数据挖掘应用于公路交通安全分析与决策
一项持续的双重挑战包括从大量的公路事故数据中提取有用的信息,并解释复杂的统计模型,以告知公众公路安全。公路安全对卡车运输业和公路资金政策至关重要。可视化数据挖掘工具是分析复杂数据的一种方法。在本文中,我们解决了以下三个问题:a)现有的数据可视化工具可以帮助公路安全理论发展和政策制定?B)可视化数据挖掘能否揭示未知的关系,从而为理论或实践的发展提供信息?c)是否可以开发一个数据可视化工具包来帮助利益相关者理解公共政策对交通安全的影响?为了解决这些问题,我们开发了一个可视化数据挖掘工具包,可以理解安全数据集并评估安全政策的有效性。除了经济成本外,交通事故在个人死亡或伤害方面对社会征收重大成本。道路交通伤害是第八大死因,也是15-29岁人群的主要死因(Lozano等人,2012年;世界卫生组织,2008年)。根据世界卫生组织(世卫组织)、世界卫生组织(2013年,第v页)的数据,2010年,交通伤害在全世界造成124万人死亡。除了失去的生命之外,与道路交通碰撞相关的费用高达数十亿美元(Jacobs, Aeron-Thomas, & Astrop, 2000年)。这些数字高得令人无法接受,特别是因为其中许多死亡可以通过循证道路安全干预措施加以避免。道路安全干预措施可有效减少事故数量和/或减轻其影响。世卫组织指出,"已证明,通过和执行与重要风险因素————速度、酒后驾驶、摩托车头盔、安全带和儿童约束装置————有关的立法,可减少道路交通伤害"(世界卫生组织,2013年,第v页)。这五个风险因素是导致事故的众多行为因素中的一个样本。世界各地已经通过了越来越多的法规来涵盖这些行为因素。然而,“在许多国家,这些法律要么范围不全面,要么根本没有。各国政府必须采取更多措施,确保其国家道路安全法符合最佳做法,并采取更多措施来执行这些法律”(世界卫生组织,2013年,第v页)。美国的问题很复杂,因为邻近各州的公路安全政策可能不同,最佳做法的确定往往不明确(州长公路安全协会,2013年)。确定最佳做法的一种方法是调查车辆碰撞的原因,进行评估
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