Peran Investasi, Utang Luar Negeri, dan Inflasi Bagi Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia

Tubagus Thresna Irijanto, Dheany Mega Lestari
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Abstract

This study aims to explain the influence of variable foreign debt, foreign investment, domestic investment and inflation on Indonesia's economic growth. Researchers observed research variables in the period 1994-2018 with variables of economic growth as dependent variables. In this study, researchers used cross-section data processed by the Error Correction Model (ECM) method. Based on the results of the ECM method, research researchers can explain the influence of variables on a holistic scale in the long and short term. The results of the study explain that in the long run, economic growth can be positively affected by foreign debt significantly. But on the other hand, in the short term, the results of research show that domestic investment and foreign debt both have a significant positive influence on economic growth. From these results, there are differences in the influence of independent variables in each time period. Although there are differences in the influence of independent variables on each time period, but researchers concluded that from the results of processing data variables foreign debt is equally a significant positive effect on national economic growth.
对印尼经济增长的投资、外债和通货膨胀的作用
本研究旨在解释可变外债、外国投资、国内投资和通货膨胀对印尼经济增长的影响。研究人员观察了1994-2018年期间的研究变量,以经济增长变量为因变量。本研究采用误差修正模型(Error Correction Model, ECM)方法处理的截面数据。基于ECM方法的结果,研究人员可以在长期和短期的整体尺度上解释变量的影响。研究结果说明,长期来看,外债对经济增长具有显著的正向影响。但另一方面,在短期内,研究结果表明,国内投资和外债对经济增长都有显著的正向影响。从这些结果可以看出,每个时间段内自变量的影响是不同的。虽然自变量对各个时间段的影响存在差异,但研究人员从数据变量处理的结果中得出结论,外债对国民经济增长同样具有显著的正向影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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