On the Need to Account for Uncertainty in Quantifi cation Technogenic Risk

Abstract

   Quantitative assessment of technogenic risk is traditionally carried out in point setting. Meanwhile, in the experimental part of the natural and technical sciences, it has long been customary to take into account the presence of uncertainty and quantify it. It is time to take into account the presence of uncertainty and quantify it in mathematical modeling, in particular, when performing a quantitative assessment of technogenic risk. Th e article contains a draft regulation on the analysis and quantitative assessment of the uncertainty of the estimated indicators of technogenic risk.