Impact of Public Spending in Infrastructure on Influencing Economic Development from East Africa Countries: The Vector Auto Regressive Analysis

J. Chindengwike
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Infrastructure development is essential for a country's growth and development. The goal of this study is to look at how public infrastructure expenditure affects economic growth in East Africa. Countries:The Vector Auto Regressive Analysis. The study employed a time series data research approach using secondary data. The population was applied to the financial records from 1984/85 to 2015/16. (Annual Data). The study's sample size was 32 yearly observations. The study's research site was purposefully chosen in Uganda. The data was gathered from a variety of trustworthy sources, including the World Bank. The Johansen co integration test shows a long-run relationship between public investment in infrastructure, communication, and electricity and the rate of economic growth. Simultaneously, the Granger-Causality test revealed indirect causality between economic development rate and all components of public spending used, with a P- Value of 0.04; and the Vector Auto Regressive (VAR) consequences revealed that public spending on infrastructure, communication, and energy had a direct effect on economic development rate. According to the study, increased investment on major infrastructure such as water facilities, airports, highways, power, trains, and communication adds considerably to the rate of economic development by boosting the efficiency of the public and private sectors.
基础设施公共支出对东非国家经济发展的影响:向量自回归分析
基础设施建设是一国经济增长和发展的根本。本研究的目的是研究公共基础设施支出如何影响东非的经济增长。国家:向量自动回归分析。本研究采用二次数据的时间序列数据研究方法。人口应用于1984/85至2015/16年的财务记录。(年度数据)。这项研究的样本量是32年的观察结果。该研究的研究地点特意选择在乌干达。这些数据是从各种值得信赖的来源收集的,包括世界银行。约翰森协整检验表明,基础设施、通信和电力等公共投资与经济增长率之间存在长期关系。同时,格兰杰因果检验表明,经济发展速度与公共支出的所有组成部分之间存在间接因果关系,P值为0.04;向量自回归(VAR)结果表明,基础设施、通信和能源方面的公共支出对经济发展速度有直接影响。根据这项研究,增加对水利设施、机场、高速公路、电力、火车和通信等主要基础设施的投资,通过提高公共和民间部门的效率,大大提高了经济发展速度。
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