The aging society, savings rates, and regional flow of funds in Japan

IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Shin-ichi Fukuda , Koki Okumura
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引用次数: 8

Abstract

This study examines the impact of population aging on regional savings rates in Japan, with particular attention to the regional flow of funds. Population aging has a positive impact on the average savings rate when the working-age population is large, it but has a negative impact when the working-age population decreases. Our empirical results, based on prefecture-level panel data, support the theoretical implication. After the mid-1990s, the working-age population declined, and the retired age population increased in many prefectures. As a result, population aging, which had a positive effect on the regional savings rate until the mid-1990s, came to have a negative effect thereafter. The empirical results suggest that in rural economies where deposits exceeded loans in the past, deposits are expected to decline due to the aging of society, resulting in a shortage of funds in the near future.

日本老龄化社会、储蓄率与区域资金流动
本研究考察了人口老龄化对日本区域储蓄率的影响,特别关注区域资金流动。当劳动年龄人口较多时,人口老龄化对平均储蓄率有正向影响,而当劳动年龄人口减少时,人口老龄化对平均储蓄率有负向影响。我们基于地级市面板数据的实证结果支持理论含义。20世纪90年代中期以后,许多县的劳动年龄人口减少,退休年龄人口增加。因此,直到20世纪90年代中期,人口老龄化对地区储蓄率的影响一直是积极的,但在90年代中期之后,人口老龄化对地区储蓄率的影响就变成了消极的。实证结果表明,在过去存款超过贷款的农村经济中,由于社会老龄化,存款预计会减少,在不久的将来会导致资金短缺。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
6.90%
发文量
36
期刊介绍: The Journal of the Japanese and International Economies publishes original reports of research devoted to academic analyses of the Japanese economy and its interdependence on other national economies. The Journal also features articles that present related theoretical, empirical, and comparative analyses with their policy implications. Book reviews are also published.
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