An Analysis the Rupiah Exchange Rates Effect Against the American Dollar and Inflation Against the Growth of Islamic Banking Mudharabah Deposits in Indonesia

Muhammad Tho’in, Iin Emy Prastiwi
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引用次数: 9

Abstract

This study aims to determine the effect of rupiah exchange rate on the US dollar (US dollar) and inflation on Mudharabah deposits of Islamic banking in Indonesia. This research is a descriptive quantitative study with secondary data. This study took samples at Islamic Commercial Banks and Islamic Business Units from January 2013 to December 2017. The analysis technique used was multiple linear regression analysis. Before conducting regression testing, the data were tested by classical assumption test, namely normality test, multicollinearity test, autocorrelation test, and heteroscedasticity test. The results in this study are the first rupiah exchange rate has a significant effect on Mudharabah deposits in a positive direction. This means that if rupiah exchange rate increases the impact on community activities in investing in Mudharabah deposits increases. The second is that iinflation has no significant effect on Mudharabah deposits, but has a relationship with a positive direction. This means that if the inflation increases, the impact on community activities in investing Mudharabah deposits also increases. Third, rupiah exchange rate and inflations are simultaneously affect on the Mudharabah deposits of Islamic banking in the amount of 59.9%. The implication is that the high rupiah exchange rate situation attracts investors to invest in Mudharabah deposits. The increase in the rupiah against the US dollar tends to cause multiplier effect which results in rising prices of commodity goods. High prices of commodity goods cause macro consumption to decrease, too because people tend to be efficient in consumption.
印尼伊斯兰银行Mudharabah存款增长对卢比汇率对美元和通货膨胀的影响分析
本研究旨在确定印尼盾汇率对美元(美元)和通货膨胀对印尼伊斯兰银行Mudharabah存款的影响。本研究采用二手数据进行描述性定量研究。本研究于2013年1月至2017年12月在伊斯兰商业银行和伊斯兰业务部门取样。分析方法为多元线性回归分析。在进行回归检验之前,对数据进行经典假设检验,即正态性检验、多重共线性检验、自相关检验和异方差检验。本研究的结果首先是印尼盾汇率对慕达拉巴存款有显著的正向影响。这意味着,如果印尼盾汇率上升,对投资于Mudharabah存款的社区活动的影响就会增加。第二,通货膨胀对Mudharabah存款没有显著影响,但有正向关系。这意味着,如果通货膨胀加剧,对投资Mudharabah存款的社区活动的影响也会增加。第三,印尼盾汇率和通货膨胀同时影响伊斯兰银行在Mudharabah的存款,占59.9%。言下之意是,印尼盾的高汇率状况吸引投资者投资于木达拉巴的存款。印尼盾对美元的升值往往会产生乘数效应,导致大宗商品价格上涨。大宗商品价格高企也会导致宏观消费减少,因为人们倾向于提高消费效率。
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