Covid-19 Pandemic Impact on the Aviation Future

Abstract

In recent months, we have been experiencing a whole new kind of crisis in aviation. Well, not only in aviation, but in this paper we want to show the impact of Covid-19 crisis on the commercial aviation. The impact on the number of flights and passengers carried, airline fleet transformations, possible changes on the commercial airline models and possible consolidation acceleration. There is also possible to expect changes on external outsource companies behavior. Product definition and its pricing will change for sure. And total drop in number of operation will for sure change a number of the employees. There is not another branch of industry more affected then the aviation. But tomorrow never dies, so how is the future we can expect. At the beginning of the pandemic, there are a few articles published about impact of covid-19 pandemic to aviation. The most complex was the paper of Pere Suau-Sanchez [6] using interview with couple of aviation heads to predict how the situation will develop. From today’s view their conclusion is too optimistic. Situation is much worse.