Emmanuel Kosack, M. Stone, K. Sanders, Eleni Aravopoulou, D. Biron, S. Brodsky, E. S. A. Dhaen, M. Mahmoud, A. Usacheva
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引用次数: 7
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to review the information management aspects of the early months of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) coronavirus 19 outbreak. It shows that the transition from epidemic to the pandemic was caused partly by poor management of information that was publicly available in January 2020.
Design/methodology/approach
The approach combines public domain epidemic data with economic, demographic, health, social and political data and investigates how information was managed by governments. It includes case studies of early-stage information management, from countries with high and low coronavirus disease 2019 impacts (as measured by deaths per million).
Findings
The reasons why the information was not acted upon appropriately include “dark side” information behaviours (Stone et al., 2019). Many errors and misjudgements could have been avoided by using learnings from previous epidemics, particularly the 1918-1919 flu epidemic when international travel (mainly of troops in First World War) was a prime mode of spreading. It concludes that if similar outbreaks are not to turn into pandemics, much earlier action is needed, mainly closing borders and locking-down.
Research limitations/implications
The research is based on what was known at the time of writing, when the pandemic’s exact origin was uncertain, when some statistics about actions and results were unavailable and when final results were unknown.
Practical implications
Governments faced with early warning signs or pandemics must act much faster.
Social implications
If the next virus is as infectious as SARS-CoV-2 but much more fatal, the world faces disastrous consequences if most governments act as slowly as this time.
Originality/value
This is one of the first analyses of information management practices relating to the pandemic’s early stages.
目的综述SARS-CoV-2(冠状病毒19)疫情爆发前几个月的信息管理情况。报告显示,从大流行到大流行的过渡,部分原因是对2020年1月公开的信息管理不善。设计/方法/方法该方法将公共领域的流行病数据与经济、人口、卫生、社会和政治数据结合起来,调查政府如何管理信息。它包括来自2019年冠状病毒病影响高和低的国家(以每百万人死亡人数衡量)的早期信息管理案例研究。信息没有得到适当处理的原因包括“黑暗面”信息行为(Stone et al., 2019)。许多错误和误判本可以通过吸取以往流行病的教训来避免,特别是1918-1919年的流感,当时国际旅行(主要是第一次世界大战中的军队)是传播的主要方式。报告的结论是,如果要避免类似的疫情演变成大流行,就需要更早地采取行动,主要是关闭边境和封锁。研究局限/影响本研究基于撰写本文时的已知情况,当时大流行的确切起源尚不确定,无法获得有关行动和结果的一些统计数据,也不知道最终结果。实际影响面对早期预警信号或流行病的政府必须更快地采取行动。如果下一种病毒的传染性与SARS-CoV-2一样,但致命性要大得多,如果大多数政府像这次一样行动迟缓,世界将面临灾难性的后果。独创性/价值这是对与大流行早期阶段有关的信息管理做法的首批分析之一。