Determinants of Economic Performance of China

K. Paudel
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Abstract

This paper examines the determinants of China’s economic performance during 1995-2017 as this development outcome is an economic prototype for developing countries. It employs an Ordinary Least Square technique and finds that proportion of FDI, export, government expenditure, and total debt as a percent of GDP have had a significant impact on GDP growth and GDP per capita growth of China. In addition, human capital largely contributes to economic growth. 1 percent increase in the level of human capital induces 0.21 percent increase in the economic growth for the short run and 0.39 percent increase in China in the long run. Similarly, urbanization induces a positive impact on GDP growth in the long run. Hence, a higher level of human capital and conducive business environment entice a higher inflow of FDI which helps to internalize the modern technology in different sectors of the economy for sustainable economic growth in China.
中国经济绩效的决定因素
本文考察了1995-2017年中国经济表现的决定因素,因为这一发展结果是发展中国家的经济原型。采用普通最小二乘方法,发现FDI、出口、政府支出和总债务占GDP的比例对中国GDP增长和人均GDP增长有显著影响。此外,人力资本在很大程度上促进了经济增长。人力资本水平每提高1个百分点,中国经济增长的短期增长率为0.21%,长期增长率为0.39%。同样,从长期来看,城市化对GDP增长也有积极的影响。因此,更高水平的人力资本和有利的商业环境吸引了更多的外国直接投资流入,这有助于将现代技术内部化到不同的经济部门,从而实现中国经济的可持续增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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