A deep learning algorithm for stock selection based on multi-factor anomaly detection

Jun-Cheng Chen, Zhen Li, Xiaoyun Cai, Zhi Cai, Wei-Wei Wang
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Abstract

In recent years, quantitative investment has been a hot spot in the development of the financial market. Quantitative stock selection is the most crucial part of quantitative investment. It is of great significance to study how to select high-quality stocks from thousands of stocks, bring them into the stock pool and allocate assets. Various machine learning and deep learning algorithms have been used in this research. This paper proposes a new stock selection strategy for multi-factor anomaly detection based on variational auto-encoder. First, we select factors from three aspects: fundamental, technical, and capitalization. Then, unsupervised anomaly detection is performed on the multivariate time series data based on variational auto-encoder to obtain the anomaly scores of the factors, and get the abnormal result by comparing it with the threshold. Finally, the abnormal results are used to select stocks combined with the trend of the selected stocks. We apply the model to four groups of stocks belonging to SCI300, SSE 50, SZSI and CSI500 respectively, and evaluate the performance compared with the Buy&Hold strategy, Traditional multi-factor model stock selection strategy, AdaBoost machine learning stock selection strategy. The experimental results show that the model can identify “good” stocks from the sample, and the performance of the selected portfolio is better than the benchmarks test.
基于多因素异常检测的深度学习选股算法
近年来,量化投资一直是金融市场发展的热点。量化选股是量化投资中最关键的环节。研究如何从成千上万只股票中选择优质股票,将其纳入股票池,进行资产配置,具有重要意义。在这项研究中使用了各种机器学习和深度学习算法。提出了一种基于变分自编码器的多因素异常检测选股策略。首先,我们从基本面、技术和资本三个方面选择因素。然后,基于变分自编码器对多变量时间序列数据进行无监督异常检测,得到各因素的异常分数,并与阈值进行比较,得到异常结果。最后,结合所选股票的走势,利用异常结果进行选股。将该模型分别应用于上证300指数、上证50指数、深指指数和上证500指数四组股票,并与买入持有策略、传统多因素模型选股策略、AdaBoost机器学习选股策略进行比较,评价其表现。实验结果表明,该模型能够从样本中识别出“好”股票,所选投资组合的表现优于基准测试。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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