The Chinese Factor in the Baltic States’ Security

Konstantinas Andrijauskas
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Abstract Based on representative primary sources as well as authoritative academic and think tank analyses, this article aims to evaluate the role that Asia's emerging superpower came to play in the Baltic trio's security, with particular emphasis on its harder aspects and most recent developments, which marked a certain shift in the respective bilateral relationships. Structured according to the conventional levels of international relations analysis and rough chronological order, the qualitative study tracks the more or less direct impact of China for the comprehensive security of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania ranging from the systemic (global) to purely bilateral domains. The results show that China has indeed become a security factor to be reckoned with there, particularly since roughly 2017–2019 and primarily due to its deepening strategic partnership with Russia. Some of its security effects, however, are even older, more nuanced, yet still significant. Since roughly 2019, however, China's security factor has increasingly acquired challenging and even threatening characteristics as is most clearly demonstrated by its relationship dynamics with Lithuania.
波罗的海国家安全中的中国因素
本文基于具有代表性的第一手资料以及权威的学术和智库分析,旨在评估亚洲新兴超级大国在波罗的海三国安全中所扮演的角色,并特别强调其较为困难的方面和标志着各自双边关系某种转变的最新发展。根据传统的国际关系分析水平和粗略的时间顺序,定性研究追踪了中国对爱沙尼亚、拉脱维亚和立陶宛的综合安全或多或少的直接影响,范围从系统(全球)到纯粹的双边领域。结果显示,中国确实已成为一个不可忽视的安全因素,特别是在大约2017-2019年以来,主要是由于中国与俄罗斯的战略伙伴关系不断深化。然而,它的一些安全效应甚至更古老、更微妙,但仍然很重要。然而,大约自2019年以来,中国的安全因素越来越具有挑战性,甚至具有威胁性,这在中国与立陶宛的关系动态中得到了最明显的证明。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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