Risk, Probability and Cognition

Abstract

   This article discusses defi nitions and the modern concept of risk. The author demonstrates the normative, technical and cognitive problems associated with the calculated values of possible damage and the probability of a negative event, and also suggests looking at the defi nition of risk in isolation from the concept of probability.   The aim of the work is to draw attention to the cognitive aspects of risk and probability.   This is important, since, according to the author, the peculiarities of human perception can signifi cantly distort information, both collected and processed during the risk analysis procedure. As arguments in favor of the author’s position, the results of many years of research by world-famous scientists are presented.