Recovery After the Covid-19 Pandemic: the Case of Peruvian Tourism

J. T. Zorrilla
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Abstract

The situation Peru is facing with the global COVID-19 pandemic and the economic recession during this 2020 constitutes the worst crisis over the last 100 years. This economic recession has not happened since the crisis of 1980. GPD may decline by 15 % this year. Also, the perspective on global economy is terrible and a sharp contraction of global GDP is expected. On the other hand, the period between 2020 and 2021 will be considered as years of economic development lost. Specifically, receptive tourism in Peru is in danger of extinction because of the pandemic. Activity in the tourism market, which gives employment to 1.4 million people who are mainly women, is in total collapse. This article aims to make a proposal to help tourism sales recover their position as the most important section of service exports in Peru. The proposal is intended to encourage a non-traditional form of tourism in the tropical coast of the north of the country that should complement the traditional archeological tourism. The conclusions make emphasis on the fact that, at present, Peru is not exploiting its historical richness or using its comparative advantage in tourism, which could become a leading sector of domestic economy. Finally, our thesis is based on the notion that, from 2021 onwards, the recovery of the Peruvian economy must necessarily be based on exploiting the recovery of external demand rather than putting our trust in domestic demand growth.
Covid-19大流行后的复苏:以秘鲁旅游业为例
秘鲁在2019冠状病毒病全球大流行和2020年经济衰退方面面临的形势构成了过去100年来最严重的危机。这种经济衰退自1980年危机以来还没有发生过。今年国内生产总值可能下降15%。此外,全球经济前景堪忧,预计全球GDP将大幅萎缩。另一方面,2020年至2021年将被视为经济发展损失的年份。具体来说,秘鲁的接待性旅游业由于这一流行病面临灭绝的危险。为140万主要是妇女提供就业机会的旅游市场活动完全崩溃。本文旨在提出建议,以帮助旅游销售恢复其在秘鲁服务出口中最重要的部分的地位。该提案旨在鼓励该国北部热带海岸的非传统旅游形式,以补充传统的考古旅游。结论强调的事实是,目前,秘鲁没有利用其历史丰富或利用其在旅游业的比较优势,这可能成为国内经济的主要部门。最后,我们的论文基于这样一种观点,即从2021年开始,秘鲁经济的复苏必须建立在利用外部需求复苏的基础上,而不是把我们的信任放在国内需求增长上。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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