Unveiling an Aloof Democracy: Voting Apathy in 21st Century Japan

Mingxuan Yang
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Abstract

On April 10, 1946, when Japan held its first general election after the devastating World War II, 72.08 percent of eligible voters of the country that failed into the debris of war went out to cast their ballot (Nohlen et al., 2001). Since then, along with Japan's postwar development and prosperity, in the next 18 general elections until 1993, the turnout maintained high stably at around 70 to 75 percent. However, after the millennium's coming, the Japanese participatory attitude towards elections seemed to come to a changing point. The turnout in subsequent elections declined noticeably and then stagnated at lower than 60 percent, which was unmatchable with the late 20th century's level (Nohlen et al., 2001). Even worse, the turnout of the previous three consecutive elections became the lowest three in the contemporary Japanese history of democracy (Tomoko, 2021). Much academic literature interprets the drastic drop and continuous low turnout as a typical sign of growing voter apathy, which means the constituents lack interest and motivation to vote when elections come (Shade & Teruelle, 2014). But why are there so many Japanese voters who lost interest in voting in recent elections? What is the cause of the growing “voting apathy,” and what could it mean to Japanese democracy and political development? Several factors could play critical roles, and they may compound and reinforce the effect of one another. The new electoral system could discourage some people from voting as it is institutionally disadvantageous to small parties and detrimental to political pluralism. The effect of institutional factors was amplified by the weakness of opposition parties from ideology to organization and internal unity, which then left voters with fewer feasible choices in elections. The increasing political alienation of young people should also be taken into account, as the drop in their turnout is the most significant in all age groups. Finally, the Japanese government, mostly led by the conservative Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), could be likely to benefit from the status quo and therefore is reluctant to reform and actively encourage electoral participation.
揭示冷漠的民主:21世纪日本的投票冷漠
1946年4月10日,日本举行了第二次世界大战后的第一次大选,在这个陷入战争废墟的国家,72.08%的合格选民出去投票(Nohlen et al., 2001)。此后,随着日本战后的发展和繁荣,在1993年之前的18次大选中,投票率一直保持在70% ~ 75%左右的高位稳定。然而,进入新世纪后,日本人对选举的参与态度似乎发生了变化。在随后的选举中,投票率明显下降,然后停滞在60%以下,这与20世纪末的水平是无法比拟的(Nohlen et al., 2001)。更糟糕的是,前三届连续选举的投票率成为当代日本民主史上最低的三届(Tomoko, 2021)。许多学术文献将投票率的急剧下降和持续的低投票率解释为选民日益冷漠的典型迹象,这意味着选民在选举到来时缺乏投票的兴趣和动机(Shade & Teruelle, 2014)。但为什么有这么多日本选民在最近的选举中失去了投票的兴趣?日益增长的“投票冷漠”的原因是什么?这对日本的民主和政治发展意味着什么?有几个因素可能起着至关重要的作用,它们可能会相互合成和加强作用。新的选举制度可能使一些人不愿投票,因为它在制度上对小党不利,不利于政治多元化。反对党从意识形态到组织和内部团结的弱点放大了制度因素的影响,从而使选民在选举中没有多少可行的选择。年轻人的政治疏离感也应考虑在内,因为他们的投票率下降在所有年龄组中最为明显。最后,主要由保守的自民党(LDP)领导的日本政府可能会从现状中受益,因此不愿改革,也不愿积极鼓励选举参与。
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