Deliberative Polling

James S. Fishkin
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引用次数: 15

Abstract

Deliberative Polling attempts to answer a simple question: what would the people think about an issue under good conditions for thinking about it? Most of the time most people are not paying a lot of attention, they are not well informed, and there are many efforts to manipulate public opinion. What would the people think if they were effectively motivated to pay attention and enabled to get information about competing arguments and if they could discuss those issues with their fellow citizens in moderated, civil discussions? These simple requirements lead to the design: advisory group vetting of briefing materials; random sampling with an initial survey permitting evaluation of attitudinal as well as demographic representativeness; moderated small group discussions; plenary sessions with competing experts; final confidential questionnaire permitting evaluation of opinion changes. The process has been applied in more than 27 countries.
审议式投票
审议性民意调查试图回答一个简单的问题:人们在思考一个问题的良好条件下会怎么想?大多数时候,大多数人都不太关注,他们不了解情况,而且有很多人在努力操纵公众舆论。如果人们被有效地激励去关注,并能够获得有关竞争论点的信息,如果他们能够在适度的、文明的讨论中与他们的同胞讨论这些问题,他们会怎么想?这些简单的要求导致了以下设计:咨询小组审查简报材料;随机抽样,进行初步调查,以评估态度和人口代表性;主持小组讨论;与相互竞争的专家举行全体会议;最后的保密问卷,允许评估意见的变化。该方法已在超过27个国家得到应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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