METHODS OF PREDICTING THE TIME OF PROBABLE EXACERBATIONS AND ATTACKS OF BRONCHIAL ASTHMA IN CHILDREN

Abstract

The purpose of the research is to determine the periodicity of exacerbations, attacks of bronchial asthma (BA) in children and their prediction. In 1993, 2 computer programs were registered, modified in 2014. Program No. 2014610977 "Determination of the hereditary periodicity of human diseases and prediction of the time of his probable diseases with acute onset". The program's database contains information about the diseases of 2,400 people, including 30 children with BA. Their periodicity of diseases was determined, dominant rhythms (DR) were calculated and digital doubles were identified, in which at least three DRS coincided within 1 day. In some children, DRS have been identified, which are associated with 50% - 70% of the diseases suffered, including seizures and exacerbations of AD. DR was used for computer prediction of the time of prob. In some children, DRS have been identified, which are associated with 50% - 70% of the diseases suffered, including attacks and exacerbations of BA. DR was used for computer prediction of the time of probable exacerbations and attacks of AD with an error of +4 days. Forecasts of up to 45% of probable diseases for a digital double of one of the parents or a doubles who is not related were inferior in accuracy to the first method. The prevailing influence on the time of occurrence of acute infectious diseases, as well as exacerbations and attacks of asthma, is exerted by genetically programmed DR. Random factors (infection, hypothermia, stress, allergens ...), coinciding with the predicted date, provoke the occurrence of pathologies. The purpose of the forecasts is timely prevention, reduction of morbidity and infant mortality. Computer program can be used to determine the periodicity and forecast of earthquakes in different regions of the Earth, hurricanes, sudden changes in the average daily air temperature.