Deposit Money Banks’ Credit Allocation to Selected Sectors and the Performance of the Nigerian Economy

Adegoriola A.E., Ishaku G.D.
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Abstract

This study investigates the impact of credit allocation given by Deposit Money Banks (DMB) to the agricultural and manufacturing sectors on the performance of the Nigerian economy from 1986 to 2020. In achieving this objective, the study employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) to evaluate the short-run and long-run impacts as well as the Granger causality tests to examine the nature of causality. The ARDL bounds test reveals the presence of long-run co-integration among the variables. The ARDL technique discloses that DMB credit allocation to the manufacturing sector has a negative and insignificant effect on economic growth in both the first and second lags. The ARDL technique also shows that DMB credit allocation to the agricultural sector has a positive and insignificant effect on economic growth in Nigeria. The granger causality test shows that there is no causal relationship between DMB credit to the manufacturing and agricultural sectors and economic growth. The study recommends that the government through financial authorities must ensure that DMB credits are monitored and channeled appropriately to the agricultural and manufacturing sectors so as to prevent such funds from entering private pockets.
存款货币银行对选定部门的信贷分配与尼日利亚经济表现
本研究调查了1986年至2020年尼日利亚存款货币银行(DMB)对农业和制造业部门的信贷分配对经济表现的影响。为了实现这一目标,本研究采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)来评估短期和长期影响,并采用格兰杰因果检验来检验因果关系的本质。ARDL边界检验揭示了变量之间存在长期协整。ARDL技术揭示了DMB信贷分配给制造业在第一滞后和第二滞后对经济增长的负面和不显著的影响。ARDL技术还表明,向农业部门分配DMB信贷对尼日利亚的经济增长具有积极而不显著的影响。格兰杰因果检验表明,制造业和农业部门的DMB信贷与经济增长之间不存在因果关系。该报告书建议,政府应通过金融当局,确保对DMB信贷进行监督,并将其适当地引导到农业和制造业,以防止DMB信贷流入私人腰包。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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