COST OF GOVERNANCE AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF PRESIDENCY, NATIONAL ASSEMBLY AND JUDICIARY EXPENDITURE IN NIGERIA

Adebowale Ogunsola
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Abstract

It is expected that increase in cost of governance by government should bring about a commensurate increase in the level of economic development of a country, but this seems not to be the case in Nigeria. It is on this premise that the study investigated how cost of governance is related to economic development in Nigeria. The focus of the study is on how presidency expenditure, national assembly expenditure and federal judiciary expenditure are related to economic development (unemployment rate, gross domestic product per capita and inflation rate). The study used time series methodology and it covered a period of five years (2016-2020). The data for the study were obtained from Central bank of Nigeria Website and analyzed using inferential statistics. Findings from regression analysis showed that presidency expenditure and national assembly expenditure have negligible and insignificant relationship with unemployment rate. It was also found that judiciary expenditure is insignificantly and negatively related to unemployment rate. Moreover, results revealed that presidency expenditure and national assembly expenditure are negatively related to gross domestic product per capital, whereas there is a positive relationship between judiciary expenditure and gross domestics product per capital, although these relationships are significant. Besides, results showed that presidency expenditure is positively and significantly related to inflation rate. It was also found that there is insignificant positive relationship between national assembly expenditure and inflation rate. However, the study found that the relationship between judiciary expenditure and inflation rate is positive and significant. The study concludes that increase in presidency expenditure and national assembly expenditure tends to worsen economic development, while increase in judiciary expenditure may improve economic development in Nigeria. Therefore, it is recommended that government should reduce budget allocations to presidency and national assembly, while there should be increase in budget allocation to the judiciary to improve economic development.
治理成本与经济发展:尼日利亚总统、国民议会和司法支出的实证分析
人们预计,政府治理成本的增加应该会带来一个国家经济发展水平的相应提高,但尼日利亚的情况似乎并非如此。正是在这个前提下,本研究调查了治理成本与尼日利亚经济发展的关系。研究的重点是总统开支、国民议会开支和联邦司法开支与经济发展(失业率、人均国内生产总值和通货膨胀率)的关系。该研究采用了时间序列方法,涵盖了五年(2016-2020年)。本研究的数据来自尼日利亚中央银行网站,并使用推论统计进行分析。回归分析结果显示,总统支出和国会支出与失业率的关系可以忽略不计,且不显著。研究还发现,司法支出与失业率呈不显著负相关。此外,结果显示,总统支出和国民议会支出与人均国内生产总值呈负相关,而司法支出与人均国内生产总值之间存在正相关关系,尽管这些关系显著。此外,结果显示总统支出与通货膨胀率正显著相关。国会支出与物价上涨率之间也存在不显著的正相关关系。然而,研究发现司法支出与通货膨胀率之间存在显著的正相关关系。研究得出结论,总统支出和国民议会支出的增加往往会恶化经济发展,而司法支出的增加可能会改善尼日利亚的经济发展。因此,政府应该减少对总统和国会的预算拨款,而增加对司法部门的预算拨款,以促进经济发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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