Development Trends of the Russian Fruit and Berry Market

R. Mukhametzyanov, Y. Agirbov, A. Zaretskaya, G. Ibiev, D. V. Storozhev
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

–The main purpose of this study is to identify trends in the development of the Russian market of fruit and berry products in different periods during 1990-2019, including in terms of its saturation due to imports and own production, as well as changes in demand and its consumption from side of the population. After the collapse of the USSR, Russia liberalized foreign trade in agricultural products, including fruits, berries and nuts. As a result, in the 1990s, due to imports, the range of fruit and berry products improved, fruits, berries and nuts that were previously physically inaccessible to the bulk of the population appeared, but the parameters of the corresponding Russian market varied within 2-3 million tons, which is primarily due to the low payable demand of the inhabitants of our country during this period. At the beginning of the 20th century in Russia, up to 2014, due to the increase in income and the resulting growth in demand, there was a positive trend towards an increase in the physical volume of the market for fruit and berry products. At the same time, imports were growing at a faster pace, but domestic production was gradually recovering after the fall in the 90s of the last century. The consumption of fruits, berries and nuts in our country has also increased. As a result of sanctions from the United States, the EU and a number of other countries, Russia announced contracts, including in relation to the import of fruit and berry products from these countries, and also began to pursue an import substitution policy, purposefully developing its own production of fruits and berries. In the past few years in our country, there has been a stagnation in retail sales of fresh fruit and berry products, a decrease in its imports with a simultaneous increase in gross harvests in the territory of the state. The results of the study can be used to further discussion of this problem in order to find compromises regarding the degree of import substitution in the Russian market for fruits, berries, nuts, differentiation of their imports, as well as measures to protect domestic producers in the event of the lifting of sanctions and counter-sanctions. Keywords––fruit and berry products, the Russian market, demand, supply, import substitution
俄罗斯水果和浆果市场的发展趋势
-本研究的主要目的是确定俄罗斯水果和浆果产品市场在1990-2019年不同时期的发展趋势,包括进口和自己生产造成的饱和,以及人口需求和消费的变化。苏联解体后,俄罗斯放开了农产品的对外贸易,包括水果、浆果和坚果。因此,在20世纪90年代,由于进口,水果和浆果产品的范围得到了改善,出现了以前大多数人口无法获得的水果,浆果和坚果,但相应的俄罗斯市场参数在200 - 300万吨之间变化,这主要是由于我国居民在此期间的应付需求较低。在20世纪初的俄罗斯,直到2014年,由于收入的增加和随之而来的需求增长,水果和浆果产品的市场实物量呈上升趋势。与此同时,进口正在以更快的速度增长,但国内生产在上世纪90年代的衰退后正在逐步恢复。我国水果、浆果和坚果的消费量也有所增加。由于美国、欧盟和其他一些国家的制裁,俄罗斯宣布了合同,包括从这些国家进口水果和浆果产品,并开始实行进口替代政策,有目的地发展自己的水果和浆果生产。在过去几年中,我国新鲜水果和浆果产品的零售额停滞不前,进口量减少,同时国家领土上的总产量增加。这项研究的结果可以用来进一步讨论这个问题,以便就俄罗斯市场上水果、浆果、坚果的进口替代程度、其进口的区别以及在取消制裁和反制裁的情况下保护国内生产者的措施找到折衷办法。关键词:水果和浆果制品,俄罗斯市场,需求,供应,进口替代
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