An Analysis of the Influence of Digital Agricultural Determinants on Agricultural Exports in Korea

Sungmin Cho
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Abstract

As the instability of the global economy continues after Covid-19, international trade is finding a new turning point. In particular, through the development of information and communication technology, all industries are attempting digital transformation and establishing a new economic system. Recently, the agricultural sector is facing the challenge of strengthening export competitiveness beyond food security in each country. Amid these changes, the emergence of digital agriculture has emerged as an alternative to creating new opportunities in the global market through agriculture. This study analyzed the impact of determinants for domestic digital agriculture transition on agricultural exports and presented implications. The analysis model was set as the export supply function, and the actual economic growth rate, including the relative price of export products, and the public R&D intensity, including public R&D expenses, and the number of professional researchers were selected as determinants for the digital transformation of the agricultural sector. Looking at the analysis results, the export relative price index generally used in the export supply function was analyzed to have a positive (+) effect, but the real economic growth rate, a substitute variable for domestic demand pressure, did not show statistically significant results. In addition, among the determinants of digital agriculture, R&D costs and intensity were analyzed to have a positive effect on agricultural exports, but the number of professionals did not produce statistically significant results. Summarizing the analysis results, it is understood that the expansion of R&D and investment for digital agriculture has a direct impact on agricultural exports, and the need for active investment and development in creating a digital agricultural foundation in the domestic agricultural sector in the future.
数字农业决定因素对韩国农产品出口的影响分析
新冠肺炎疫情发生后,全球经济持续动荡,国际贸易正迎来新的拐点。特别是随着信息通信技术的发展,各行各业都在尝试数字化转型,建立新的经济体系。最近,农业部门面临着在各国粮食安全之外加强出口竞争力的挑战。在这些变化中,数字农业的出现已成为通过农业在全球市场创造新机会的另一种选择。本研究分析了国内数字农业转型的决定因素对农产品出口的影响,并提出了启示。将分析模型设为出口供给函数,选取实际经济增长率(包括出口产品相对价格)、公共研发强度(包括公共研发费用)和专业研究人员数量作为农业部门数字化转型的决定因素。从分析结果来看,一般用于出口供给函数的出口相对价格指数被分析为具有正(+)效应,但作为内需压力替代变量的实体经济增长率没有显示出统计学上显著的结果。此外,在数字农业的决定因素中,我们分析了研发成本和强度对农业出口的积极影响,但专业人员的数量没有产生统计显著的结果。总结分析结果,可以理解为,扩大数字农业的研发和投资对农业出口有直接影响,未来国内农业部门需要积极投资和发展,以创建数字农业基础。
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