Model for Economic Security Assessment

Y. Tsenkov
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Abstract

The problem of measuring the economic security of a country is a complex topic with an ongoing research since there are a number of factors with different characteristics that should be taken into account. The goal of the research is to suggest a model for economic security assessment based on public available data from official sources like EUROSTAT or national databases. The main assumption is that economic security is directly proportional to the economic development. Based on this assumption the economic security could be assessed using measurements for economic development such as GDP, GDP per capita, inflation, unemployment, budget deficit, government debt, net export, etc. A model is provided giving 7 indicators of economic growth and referencing values that if achieved and sustained for a longer period of time should provide a higher level of economic security. Based on the referencing values and comparison with other countries the model could be used for assessing the current level of economic security of a country.
经济安全评估模型
衡量一个国家经济安全的问题是一个复杂的问题,需要进行持续的研究,因为有许多具有不同特征的因素需要考虑。这项研究的目标是提出一种基于官方来源(如欧盟统计局或国家数据库)的公开数据的经济安全评估模型。主要假设是经济安全与经济发展成正比。基于这一假设,经济安全可以用GDP、人均GDP、通货膨胀、失业、预算赤字、政府债务、净出口等经济发展指标来评估。提供了一个模型,给出了7个经济增长指标和参考值,如果实现并持续更长时间,应该提供更高水平的经济安全。基于参考值和与其他国家的比较,该模型可用于评估一个国家当前的经济安全水平。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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