Does financial decentralization create financial risk?

Ziping Zeng
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Abstract

The reform of financial decentralization and fiscal decentralization between central and local governments in China is important to strengthen the role of local governments in preventing financial risks, and is a hot issue of concern for academics and the financial industry. This study employs panel data from 30 provinces and cities in China between 2006 and 2019 to examine the impact of financial decentralization on financial risk. The empirical results demonstrate that financial decentralization can effectively reduce financial risks, with significant spatial heterogeneity observed in the impact. Moreover, the study finds that there is no effective synergy between fiscal and financial decentralization in suppressing financial risks, and financial decentralization does not increase financial risk by strengthening promotion incentives. Therefore, as the reform of the central and local economic decentralization system continues, greater attention should be paid to the coordination between financial and fiscal decentralization, and financial risk indicators should be integrated into officials' promotion incentive assessments to better prevent financial risks.
财政分权是否会产生财政风险?
中国财政分权和中央地方财政分权改革对于加强地方政府防范金融风险的作用具有重要意义,是学术界和金融界关注的热点问题。本研究采用2006 - 2019年中国30个省市的面板数据,考察了财政分权对金融风险的影响。实证结果表明,财政分权能够有效降低金融风险,但影响存在显著的空间异质性。此外,研究发现,财政分权与财政分权在抑制金融风险方面没有有效的协同作用,财政分权不会通过加强促进激励来增加金融风险。因此,随着中央和地方经济分权体制改革的继续推进,应更加重视财政分权与财政分权的协调,将财政风险指标纳入官员晋升激励考核,更好地防范财政风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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