Modeling the impact of campaign program on the prevalence of anemia in children under five

Md. Azmir Ibne Islam
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Anemia, a global health problem, is increasing worldwide and affecting both developed and developingcountries. Being a blood disorder, anemia may occur in any stages of life but it is quite common in childrenunder the age of five. Globally, iron deficiency is the supreme contributor towards the onset of anemia. In thispaper, a general model based on the dynamics of anemia among children under five is formulated. The populationis divided in three classes such as susceptible, affected and treated. A time-dependent control measurenamely campaign program is considered. The model has an equilibrium point and the stability of the pointis analyzed. Moreover, sensitivity of the equilibrium point is also performed to discover the critical parameters.Numerical simulations are carried out to observe the dynamic behavior of the model. Results showthat campaign program is effective in minimizing the disease progression. The number of child patients andyearly deaths significantly decrease with accelerated campaign program that is implemented earlier whereastermination of the applied measure may upturn the burden. Findings also reveal that application of controlmeasure helps to reduce the prevalence of anemia but may not eliminate the disease.
贫血是一个全球性的健康问题,在世界范围内日益严重,发达国家和发展中国家都受到影响。作为一种血液疾病,贫血可能发生在生命的任何阶段,但在五岁以下的儿童中相当常见。在全球范围内,缺铁是导致贫血的主要原因。本文建立了一个基于五岁以下儿童贫血动态的一般模型。人群分为易感、受影响和已治疗三类。考虑了一种时变控制测量运动方案。该模型具有平衡点,并对平衡点的稳定性进行了分析。此外,还进行了平衡点的灵敏度分析,以发现关键参数。通过数值模拟,观察了模型的动态特性。结果表明,运动方案能有效地减少疾病的进展。如果及早实施加速运动方案,儿童患者的数量和每年的死亡人数将显著减少,而终止所采取的措施可能会增加负担。研究结果还表明,控制措施的应用有助于降低贫血的患病率,但可能不会消除疾病。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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