Quantum Technologies and Possible Futures

Abstract

What are the most likely paths for quantum technologies? Are we facing a future where quantum technologies are the domain of governments, with asymmetric powers to collect information about us and to make sense of it? Or might the future bring some other landscape, where quantum technologies protect the communications of the average person and quantum sensing helps us diagnose and treat illness? This chapter uses scenario analysis to seed a policy discussion for quantum technologies. We envision four likely outcomes of the quantum technology race, and these different visions provide motivation for contemplating the strategic, political, and social dimensions of quantum technologies. The next chapter considers how different policy measures could address these risks.