THEORETICAL FUNDAMENTALS OF THE STUDY OF ECONOMIC CYCLES CLASSIFICATION

A. Zhavoronok
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Abstract

Many years of research on the processes taking place in national economies, reveal the regularity of fluctuations in economic dynamics: the recessions and upswing of business activity are constantly changing each other. The changes caused by such oscillatory processes cover almost all spheres of society. The ideas of cyclicity became widespread in scienceat the beginning of the XIX century, but to this day the nature of the economic cycle, its essence, classification and role in econom-ics is one of the most controversial theories. The main purpose of the article is to deepen the theoretical provisions of the study and systematization of the classification of economic cycles.The article investigates the basic theoretical concepts for the definition and classification of types of economic cycles. To do this, we analyzed different classification features that distinguish different types of economic cycles, based on their origin (cyclical fluctuations, non-cyclical), depending on the causes of their occurrence, J.M. Keynes's cycle theory, mone-tary theory of economic cycle M. Friedman , J. Schumpeter's theory of the influence of scientific and technological progress, A.Aftalion theory of disproportion between the production of consumer goods and capital accumulation, M. Tugan-Baranovskyi theory of capital accumulation), operating conditions (cycles of monopolistic competition, cycles of pure mo-nopoly, cycles of free competition) and duration (Forrester cycles lasting 200-400 years; ultra-large age cycles lasting 120 years; J. Model cycles lasting 90-122 years; Schumpeter cycles lasting 50-55 years; H cycles D.Kondratiev, the duration of which is 40-60 years, Thomas cycles, the duration of which is 18-22 years, the cycle and Abramowitz, whose duration is 20 years; Kuznets construction cycles, which last 20 years; Zhulyar cycles, which last 7-11 years; Marx's production cycles, which last 7-11 years; Kitchen cycles lasting 3-5 years; private business cycles lasting 1-2 years. This made it possible to systematize and expand their types on the basis of the duration of economic cycles, as in the available literaturethere is no detailed division on this basis of economic cycles. Thus, the correct selection of classification features of the study of econom-ic cyclicality and the set of macroeconomic parameters used in it, is extremely important for determining the structure and mechanism of formation of economic cycles that are detected.
经济周期分类研究的理论基础
多年来对国民经济过程的研究揭示了经济动态波动的规律:商业活动的衰退和上升不断地相互变化。这种振荡过程所引起的变化几乎涵盖了社会的所有领域。经济周期的概念在19世纪初开始在科学界广泛传播,但直到今天,经济周期的性质、本质、分类和在经济学中的作用仍然是最具争议的理论之一。本文的主要目的是深化对经济周期分类研究和系统化的理论规定。本文探讨了经济周期类型定义和分类的基本理论概念。为此,我们分析了区分不同类型经济周期的不同分类特征,基于它们的起源(周期性波动,非周期性波动),取决于它们发生的原因,J.M.凯恩斯的周期理论,经济周期的货币理论M.弗里德曼,J.熊彼特的科学技术进步影响理论,a .消费品生产与资本积累之间不比例的aftalion理论,M.图根-巴拉诺夫斯基资本积累理论)、经营条件(垄断竞争周期、纯垄断周期、自由竞争周期)和持续时间(弗雷斯特周期持续200-400年;120年超大年龄循环;J.模式周期90 ~ 122年;熊彼特周期持续50-55年;H周期D.Kondratiev,周期40-60年,Thomas周期18-22年,和Abramowitz周期20年;库兹涅茨建设周期,持续20年;朱利尔周期,持续7-11年;马克思的生产周期为7-11年;厨房周期3-5年;私人商业周期持续1-2年。这使得在经济周期持续时间的基础上系统化和扩展其类型成为可能,因为在现有文献中,没有在经济周期的基础上进行详细的划分。因此,正确选择经济周期研究的分类特征和其中使用的一组宏观经济参数,对于确定所检测到的经济周期的结构和形成机制至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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