Assessing the Economic Impacts of Ocean Acidification on Asia’s Mollusk Mariculture

Lance Yu
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Ocean acidification is coming fast and will exert negative economic impacts on global seawater mollusk fisheries. Asia is by far the top seawater mollusk producer on Earth, therefore, it is more necessary for it to be carried out related researches than the rest of the word. This analysis is an attempt to conduct a regional assessment of the direct economic impacts of ocean acidification on Asia’s mollusk mariculture. The results show that the accelerating ocean acidification poses increasing economic risks to the industry and the total financial losses vary with the degrees of ocean acidification, from 16.08 billion USD to 71.48 billion USD, from 42.66 billion to 189.61 billion USD, and from 121.11 billion USD to 498.28 billion USD, respectively, based on a discount rate of 2%, 3%, and 4%. In addition, we define a microeconomic model to illustrate how ocean acidification affects the mollusk industry’s economy. Considering that economic losses greatly depend on policy effects, it is safe to say that effective polices can reduce the negative impacts of ocean acidification and mitigate the risks of the sudden collapse of the industry as well as the resulting social problems.
评估海洋酸化对亚洲软体动物养殖的经济影响
海洋酸化速度加快,将对全球海水软体动物渔业产生负面经济影响。亚洲是迄今为止地球上最大的海水软体动物生产国,因此,亚洲比世界其他地区更有必要开展相关研究。这一分析试图对海洋酸化对亚洲软体动物养殖业的直接经济影响进行区域评估。结果表明,海洋酸化加速给行业带来的经济风险越来越大,按2%、3%和4%的贴现率计算,海洋酸化程度不同,总经济损失分别为160.8亿美元至714.8亿美元、426.6亿美元至1896.1亿美元、1211.1亿美元至4982.8亿美元。此外,我们定义了一个微观经济模型来说明海洋酸化如何影响软体动物产业的经济。考虑到经济损失在很大程度上取决于政策效果,可以肯定地说,有效的政策可以减少海洋酸化的负面影响,减轻产业突然崩溃的风险以及由此产生的社会问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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