Risk and Uncertainty in Concept of Corporate Lifecycle

E. Kuzmin
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引用次数: 7

Abstract

Regularly changed destructive periods in organizational development mean that the lifecycle exists. A nature of its formation hides a number of important conceptual regularities. One aspect of these trends is relationship between distribution of uncertainty and risks in lifecycle models, underlying motives of their formation and determining participation in development of organizational immunity. A closer definition of these issues is an objective of this research. The paper reviews the history of the lifecycle concept, gives its analysis and possible applications in management studies. In the analytical review of literature, there is an attempt of theoretical systematization for some provisions from the concept on consistency and continuity of stages turnover, on conditions of their identification and a nonlinear path. For discussions of the scientific community, the author presents hypotheses of the available effect of compression (density) in development stages, as well as heterogenic risk concentration. There is an assumption that economic systems have different orders for both the general and short lifecycles. Based on generalized theoretical and methodological provisions of stages in the lifecycle phases, the author attempts to combine functional and evolutionary models. The author also details distinctive features in the process of control over uncertainty and risks in the sequence of development stages.
企业生命周期概念中的风险与不确定性
组织发展中定期变化的破坏性时期意味着生命周期的存在。它形成的本质隐藏了许多重要的概念规律。这些趋势的一个方面是生命周期模型中不确定性和风险的分布、形成这些模型的潜在动机和决定参与组织免疫力发展之间的关系。本研究的目标是对这些问题进行更紧密的定义。本文回顾了生命周期概念的历史,对其进行了分析,并对其在管理研究中的应用进行了展望。在文献的分析回顾中,从阶段更替的一致性和连续性概念、阶段更替的识别条件和非线性路径等方面对一些规定进行了理论系统化的尝试。对于科学界的讨论,作者提出了在发育阶段压缩(密度)的可用效应的假设,以及异质风险集中的假设。有一种假设认为,经济系统对于一般生命周期和短期生命周期都有不同的顺序。基于生命周期阶段的广义理论和方法论规定,作者试图将功能模型和进化模型结合起来。作者还详细阐述了在不确定性和风险控制过程中按发展阶段顺序的特点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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