Managerial Duties and Managerial Biases

Ulrike Malmendier, Vincenzo Pezone, Hui Zheng
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引用次数: 23

Abstract

Much of the evidence on managerial biases in corporate finance focuses on the CEO and, in particular, CEO overconfidence. This singular focus can lead to misattribution as it ignores the roles of other managers who are responsible for a given corporate outcome. We evaluate the influence of the CFO and other C-suite executives as compared with the CEO. Mirroring the widely used Longholder CEO measure of CEO overconfidence, we construct Longholder CFO and Longholder Other measures. For financing decisions, we find that CEO overconfidence becomes an insignificant predictor of most decisions when included jointly with the CFO proxy, whereas CFO overconfidence has strong predictive power. The reverse holds for nonfinancing decisions: CEO beliefs predict the risk and return of investment projects and, thus, their cost of financing as well as acquisitions. Other C-suite managers’ overconfidence is not significant in either of these two realms. CEO overconfidence does remain significant even for financing decisions in the subsample of firms with “powerful” (entrenched) CEOs. We also show that overconfident CEOs tend to hire overconfident CFOs, which generates a multiplier effect and explains the misattribution to the CEO in analyses that do not account for the roles of other managers. Our results imply that analyses of managerial biases need to identify the dominant decision makers and account for their respective influence. This paper was accepted by Victoria Ivashina, finance.
管理职责与管理偏见
很多关于公司财务管理偏见的证据都集中在CEO身上,尤其是CEO的过度自信。这种单一的关注可能会导致错误的归因,因为它忽略了对特定公司结果负责的其他经理的角色。我们将CFO和其他高管的影响力与CEO进行比较。根据目前广泛使用的CEO过度自信度量,我们构建了CFO和Other度量。对于财务决策,我们发现当CFO过度自信与CFO代理共同考虑时,CEO过度自信对大多数财务决策的预测不显著,而CFO过度自信具有较强的预测能力。非融资决策则相反:CEO的信念预测投资项目的风险和回报,从而预测融资和收购的成本。其他高管的过度自信在这两个领域中都不显著。即使在拥有“强大”(根深蒂固)CEO的公司的子样本中,CEO过度自信也仍然很重要。我们还表明,过度自信的CEO倾向于雇佣过度自信的cfo,这产生了乘数效应,并解释了在没有考虑其他管理者角色的分析中,CEO的错误归因。我们的研究结果表明,对管理偏见的分析需要确定主要决策者,并考虑他们各自的影响。这篇论文被财经的Victoria Ivashina接受。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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